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Exchange Rate Movements and Foreign Direct Investment: Evidence from Taiwanese Investment into China

執筆者 Kun-Ming Chen, Hsiu-Hua Rau, Chia-Ching Lin
発行年月 2004年 11月
No. 2004-30
ダウンロード 340KB

内容紹介

This paper examines the impact of exchange rate level and its volatility on outward foreign direct investment (FDI). The diversity in the motives for FDI is considered. Using a real options approach, we show that exchange rate uncertainty has a negative impact on a firm’s outward FDI. In addition, while the depreciation of a host country’s currency tends to stimulate outward FDI activity of cost-oriented firms, the depreciation tends to deter outward FDI activity of market-oriented firms. With industry panel data on Taiwan’s outward FDI into China over the period 1991-2002, our empirical findings indicate that the exchange rate level and its volatility in addition to the relative wage rate have had a significant impact on Taiwanese firms’ outward FDI into China. In general, the empirical results are consistent with the prediction of the theory.